Feature Issues
Feature Issues
 
 

 
Consumer confidence
remains strong
Canada's Housing Fundamentals - A Big Difference from the U.S.
 
There is a huge difference between what is happening to housing markets in Canada and the United States.  While the subprime problems in the U.S. are spilling into Canada, but not into Canada's housing and mortgage markets.  Canada's housing industry is on a different track than its U.S. counterpart. The dramatic contrast between housing starts confirms this:
 
  • Canada Housing Starts - 229,600 in 2007 up from 227,295 in 2006
  • U.S Housing Starts - 1.38 million in 2007 down from 1.82 million in 2006
 Canada's underlying demand for housing has also stayed on solid footing.  The Canadian housing cycle only began in 2002 and, being in its sixth year, should not be considered to be close to its end of cycle phase.  In contrast, the U.S. housing cycle bean in the mid-1990's.
 
 
Western Tiger
keeps rolling
The Canada/U.S. Price Gap
 
The high Canadian dollar is both good news and bad news for Canada's new home builders.  It is definitely a factor in keeping interest rates stable.  It might even push rates lower as the elevated CAD has created a price gap with the U.S.  With the currency at par with the U.S., prices are noticeably out of line between the two countries.
 
We can expect a number of Canadian companies to adjust selling prices to reflect the reduced cost of imports from the U.S.  This means stable and possibly lower mortgage rates heading into the Spring selling season.  The downside from the high CAD is the loss of competitive position for many Canadian companies.  They will be forced to redouble their efforts to cut costs.  This means layoffs.
 
New home builders are therefore facing local market economic risks.  It will be important to know whether the major employers in your market are are exposed to competitive pressure as a result of the high CAD.  In addition, Canadian banks are likely to review lending standards carefully and new home builders could find that lending terms and loan covenants become more conservative.
  
 
 
In our local communities, just like in countries and provinces, economic growth is the foundation of prosperity.  One needs only look at the average incomes, unemployment rates, and out-migration numbers for slow-growth regions and communities to recognize the critical relationship between growth and prosperity.
 
Last Updated:  07-11-2007
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
In a nutshell, economic growth:
 
  • Enhances opportunities for all residents and creates the capacity for governments to invest in important public services – which...
  • Leads to vibrant communities, a talented, flexible workforce, quality public services, and a healthy sustainable environment – which...
  • Creates the necessary conditions to attract and retain investment and the ‘best and brightest’ people – which...
  • Creates sustainable economic prosperity with a better performing economy and a higher standard of living – which leads to further growth, and so on.
 
Economic growth is the foundation for prosperity in a modern economy.  But growth cannot occur without residential development.  The two go hand in hand.  Without new development, there will be little or no significant growth.  Without growth, there is little need for new development – economic stagnation is the result. 
 
Development is part of the process of growth – a process which benefits everyone in the community by encouraging private investment and a stronger local economy.
 
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